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It's been on the cards. Over the last couple of years, India won in Australia and Sri Lanka, England won in Sri Lanka, New Zealand beat Pakistan in the UAE.. there is a shift. India is still the ultimate fortress.
A disappointing series in terms of results, but some good cricket to watch and a historic innings from Stokes.
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Will save me a few hours time on Thursday for the 5th test - I will keep an eye out but not with the same level of intent
Do you think England will mix up the team for The Oval? Playing for places in the winter tours.
I'm already looking forward to the Boxing Day Test against South Africa, it starts at 08:00am UK time. What a Christmas treat that will be for the wife & kids, when I plonk down on the sofa with the TV remote, forget Mary Poppins love, England have won the toss.
so would you play Sam Curran in the final test? Bit weird he hasn’t been Given a game given how well he played last summer. The beauty of hindsight but he must be thinking “what have I done wrong”. As well as Overton played today, he got the gig because he dismissed Smith in the previous series down under...which is desperate to say the least!
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There's no harm in giving Sam Curran a go for the last Test.
However India in the recent series against Windies, lost both of the tosses and won both test matches very comfortable, whilst England lost the tosses in Windies and lost the first two, but won the last test match (which IMO, the Windies had stepped off the gas after winning the series & Holder was suspended)
IMO, home conditions aren't as important as they once were winning the toss is very important.
So winning the toss is important if you assume that it means you will either bat first and exploit what should be the best of the batting conditions or you bowl first to utilise conditions helpful to the seamers.
Sometimes there are the exceptions. Look at Australia in the first Test: won toss, batted first, went into the second innings with a deficit, ended up winning. Was the toss responsible for that win? Not to my mind. Same with our solitary win at Headingley. We didn't win because of a toss: we won thanks to a real lifetime knock from Stokes, some hard work from Denly and Root, and a brave number 11. It's reminiscent of Shai Hope at Headingley: Windies lost the toss, England didn't utilise that advanatge, Hope plays a blinder.
Now the West Indies-India series: clearly winning the toss didn't help the West Indies. The emergence of the Indian pace attack who really can bowl in all conditions, having proven themselves now in Australia and the West Indies, negated that advantage. Quality quicks led by Bumrah and the continued up and down nature of the West Indies bowling attack.
The toss does give an advantage but I don't believe it's as cut and dried as some suggest. I haven't got the figures for County Championship game result now that they've erased the toss. I'll see if I can pull something out tomorrow.
When we play down under it is often early to bed about 7pm - Get up midnight/1am and watch as much as I can, then maybe a 1 hour kip before I go to work - Effectively become a zombie for 2 months or so
I think the issue has been does he play for Woakes, which is now Overton - Or drop 1 batsman and options here, move Bairstow to 6 and Curran slots in at 7 - Many pundits think he will move up above this and become a better batsman who can bowl a bit
The series bowling averages for both teams are amazing.
http://stats.espncricinfo.com/ci/engine/records/averages/batting_bowling_by_team.html?id=12492;type=series
Cummins and Hazlewood have been outstanding but so too have Archer and Broad. You then look at everyone else in the teams: Woakes has a better average and SR than Starc, Siddle, and Pattinson. Lyon on the face of the stats has been outbowled by Leach. The real difference has been Smith and Labuschagne. They gave Australia enough runs to bowl England out with. They didn't bat us out of the game like India do at home but they gave enough depth to allow the bowlers time to get the opposition out. That's precisely what we saw today.
As for Curran... it's simply inexplicable to me that he hasn't featured at some point this series. This seamer has been good for seamers. Our lead swing bowler has missed the whole series through injury and so Curran surely had to appear at some point. Instead we've ignored him, took a huge punt on Roy that failed, Joe Denly has been up and down the order, the two JBs are still in shitsville.. it's an abject mess.
I remember seeing the India test series in South Africa, and couldn't think of a series where the toss was as important. Pretty each consecutive innings was lower scoring than the last.
Back to England, I thought Joe Root was incredibly lucky winning as many tosses as he did last year, and with the conditions that largely went in his favour his abilities as captain were flattered.
https://www.iol.co.za/news/south-africa/western-cape/watercrisis-club-school-cricket-cancelled-due-to-drought-13043427
It comes back to this article and Ric Finlay's studies:
https://www.cricket.com.au/news/coin-toss-test-cricket-adam-gilchrist-winning-away-from-home-icc-allan-border-du-plessis/2018-07-25
Gilchrist's words are right on sides having to learn to cope better when they lose the toss. If you lose the toss and get inserted, England for instance haven't got the ways and means for the most part to cope. But the speed of change is also there in the final paragraph of that article that's now approaching 14 months old:
"While historical data shows the toss makes a negligible difference to the outcome of a match, there's no doubt modern teams are losing Tests away from home more frequently."
And we have seen a change. India can now mix it in Australia because they have a pace attack that comes close to rivalling Australia. England can win in Sri Lanka because the opposition don't have a top level spinner nor have come close to replacing their two greatest batsmen. Now Dale Steyn has gone from Test cricket, will South Africa be as daunting as it has been?
Collective strength isn't what it used to be. Us older types can remember the days when Australia could field an A side in ODI tournaments that was close to being as good as their 1st XI. All those overseas Aussies in the CC, people who couldn't get a game. India now are the only side who really have that collective strength in the batting where players can come up into theTest side and slot in. Their first class game allows players to bat for a long time and it prepares them for Test cricket. Take Hanuma Vihari who debuted against England made his first ton against West Indies recently and compare him to Jason Roy. Both of them made their FC debut in 2010.
75 games, 119 innings, 6272 runs at 60.... 12,763 balls faced.
86 games, 142 innings, 4832 runs at 36... and faced 5975 balls.
It is too early to say if Vihari will become an estabished Test player but the foundations he has had by the way the FC game is played in India has allowed for some early success. With Roy, we selected him on a hunch, going totally against the stats-led world that is gaining strength. Perhaps now we will go the other way and pick people who demonstrate longevity in the middle.
I saw quite a bit of Vihari bat in the Windies test and he's not a very exciting player to watch but he has got a pretty decent defensive game and can spend time at the crease. Agarwal looks decent as well. Have you seen any of Shubman Gill though? Bloody hell, that kid's a talent. Hope white ball cricket doesn't destroy his technique.
The Ranji trophy is still a very important part of Indian cricket, and even with the IPL there seems to be better scheduling in Indian cricket than in the UK. God knows how much of a mess it'll be with the 100.
SAF cricket doesn't look to be in the best health though. They seem to be very reliant on a few names with some coming to the end of their careers eg Faf, Amla with no real replacements in line. Steyn will be missed but they have Rabada and Ntini around, but another huge issue is they keep on losing bowlers to Kolpak. Duaane Olivier could have a decent future for them.
2 all, over the 5 test series is better than a 3 v 1 defeat - So let's get behind the team
SAF are in a lot of strife. Hard to know how they can pull that back without trashing FC cricket.
Dravid's the U19 coach and he seems to keep close ties with a few players even after they graduate from his team. IMO one of the failings of English cricket is a lot of solid ex players who'd be able to offer the next generation a lot of their insights are lost to commentary.
All good points although I'm pretty sure Australia won the ODI series when touring India earlier this year (winning 3 of 5 matches).
Not only that, but Roy might somehow scrape together an innings of 60 at the Oval, and make if difficult to drop him - especially if the Australian intensity drops.
if we can make it 2 v 2 then far better than a 2v1 or 3v1 defeat - 2 all and we can somehow say we didn't loose the Ashes, we just didn't win them - A bit like losing on the away goals rule in the Champions League - 2 all and at least it gives me a touch of credibility when facing any Aussies I know
With Stokes looking as though he will bat only, then surely Curran has to come in to ensure 5 bowlers, but for who - Option 1 is Stoke bats at 4 and no Roy - Or no Butler - Either way and Curran in at 7
Rejoice cricket fans! There is something more idiotic than T100!
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