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The Australia attack is better managed and prepared and the reserves are better managed and prepared. Unlike England, they've had long term plans going for how to bring Pattinson back into first class cricket after a lengthy time with injury problems, how to keep the like of Starc and Cummins fit, how to get Josh Hazlewood bowling better in England compared to last time out.
Of the bowling attack, we've selected poorly. Broad has bowled superbly. Archer was well out of sorts in the first innings, perhaps unsurprisingly given the first two Tests he played. Overton came in as a hold up an end seamer and did the job he can do. Stokes being injured is unfortunate and Leech has thus far outbowled the oppo spinner despite having the hardest conditions to bowl in on the first two days and then bowling second time up with England deep in the doodoo after the batsmen fuck up again.
Our bowlers have consistently gotten the batsmen out of the shit for years. Even going back to 2005, how many times did we bat a side out of the game in the way India or Australia do?
We haven't had a score of 500+ for two years (August 2017 against Windies - Cook with a double century, Root with a ton).
In that time, Australia scored 600+ against us twice in Australia and declared just under 500 twice this series.
Archer is new with promise - As expected a lot of potential but needs to be more consistent, but don't want that to sound a negative at this stage
Otherwise we have nothing - Woakes, Overton and Leach are just about adequate at best - I've said from day one that Curran should be playing - He offers a good option with the ball and his batting can't be worse than others who are picked above him - Agree that as a pack the Aussie bowling attack is a constant threat that is superior to ours
Take Smith out of the equation and nothing between us in the batting - I find it hard to excuse Leach for that no ball - How can a spinner who walks to the crease step over the line - Hopefully he will learn from it
I'm a Root fan - I'm a Yorkshire lad - But his captaincy is not as good as it should be - Let him do his job with the bat and give it to someone else - Whilst Stokes might be the obvious answer I don't it it should be him - But I'm not sure who it should be
As for tomorrow I hope Roy + others can do the job - A dream I know - We need that Atherton + Russel partnership
Current odds on Betfair are:
49/1 England to win
9/2 for the draw
1/4 Australia to win
The odds for the draw look a bit short to me.
This needs some long term player development focus from the ECB if they want to get back a world beating Test team, which is sadly probably not the priority.
Also spending time coaching the bowlers like Jofra how to bat in Test matches and make them more valuable down the order is worth some focus too. He's very much in ODI mode when he bats. Jack Leach gets it and can sensibly at 11, I would bring him up to 8 or 9, I think he's played well in this series, yes he can go for a few runs if it's not turning just like any spinner will.
There is a slim chance this match could be saved and they go to the Oval with all to play for but I really don't expect lightning to strike twice. Australia have outplayed England by having Steve Smith and better seam bowlers and deserve to win. England have fought well to cling on and the Stoke's innings at Headlingley was a once in a lifetime freak event, as wonderful as it was, events like that can't be relied upon time after time.
When I see David Warner playing alongside Jofra Archer for lets say one of the London teams, who am I supposed to be backing? I don't get it. It's just a random bunch of cricketers thrown together separated into "teams", how can you have fan loyalty? Is it supposed to be City based and you back the city you live in?
I'm in rural Norfolk, who's my team? The Worzel Gummidge Haystack Rangers?
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This is an excellent summary of where the game is, well written:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/cricket/49623542
Ok, maybe Matthew Wade's not had the best summer but at least they used the domestic cricket set up/first class cricket to reward for the player who scored a lot of runs/took a lot of wickets with a place in the test team. England last year giving Rashid a test place when he'd stopped playing red ball cricket, then picking Jason Roy as an opener are just very odd cricketing decisions, maybe not as much in isolation but there seems to be a record of them in recent years.
With the 100 looming, it's difficult to think of how players will have enough time to get rhythm into the season for playing red ball cricket.
The same way a batsman ( no run up at all) can place the front foot forward, not realise that his back foot isn't over the crease and get given out stumped. Small misjudgements yet I don't see people saying that being stumped like that is inexcusable.
Forgot that Punter and co lasted all but 2 overs in 2005 - Let's beat that
"Any no-ball from a spinner is a super-sized unforced error. A no-ball after a delivery which has just removed the world’s best batsman is the stuff of nightmares."
It is analagous to the foot fault when serving in tennis. Squires is also talking out of his arse. As the delivery was ruled a no-ball, at no point did it remove the world's best batsman as the final decision on dismissal is down to the umpire.
I was in this situation when I was 16. I was actually playing against Surrey at youth level and had a guy caught to cover off a no ball. I was a spinner, I was really down about it, and the guy at the other end was Ben Hollioake. People couldn't understand how it happened but it did so don't keep going on about it. Instead, let me get it sorted. I'd had some no ball problems that year after suffering a knee injury. I bowled leg spin off of nine paces. One game I ended up with 3 for 30 from 15 overs: 14 of these were no balls. I moved the run up back, across, sideways, all over the place. Turned out I was subconsciously protecting the left knee that had been damaged so I wasn't triggering my run up properly nor was I getting through the delivery stride properly. I got my father to film me bowling, looked at what was wrong, and made changes. I think I bowled one no ball the rest of that season and didn't have a problem after that.
Atherton's body language at the lunch summary on Sky says it all. Impending inevitability against a superb bowling attack.
They have 3 bowlers up for it against a top six with one guy in form.
Not difficult to see why we're losing. Had they an opener in form with the bat, they'd have won this series by now.
Since then and not including this series, we have had 43 English innings, scoring 11,617 runs with 404 wickets down.
That's 28.75 runs per wicket.
That's 270.16 runs per innings.
Australia in that same time period has had 35 innings, scoring 9,508 runs with 297 wickets down.
That's 32.01 per wicket.
That's 271.66 runs per innings. Looks fairly fair, yes?
You then have to consider that in that time period Australia played a total of 19 Tests. 6 of them were without Smith and Warner, their best two batsmen. Imagine what England's average would have been like above if Root and whomever our second best batsman was in that time were unavailable for nearly of a third of the Tests.
During this time period up to his ban, Smith played 10 Tests and scored 948 runs at 63.20
In that same time period, Root played 22 Tests, 1396 runs at 35.79.
It really does reinterate how outstanding Smith is and how important he is to the team with the bat and how far Root has dropped off the last few years.
349/1 England to win
16/5 for the draw
2/7 Australia to win
£10 on the England win at 349/1 = A new Fender Custom Shop Tele
Also IMO Leach is still out of order and at fault for a no ball - I'm allowed a view point
Maybe it won't matter now, as the Ashes is probably staying with the Aussies - But one key moment can sometimes win/loose a match, or at least have a major impact at a key point of the match - Look at 'Gary' at the end of the 3rd Test and the 'failed' run-out - Not only did the no ball ensure Smith got around another 100 runs, it will have ensured the team ride of the back of that , batting alongside him, so maybe 170 extra runs for the team
Is it a case of a few new players, or application ??
Genuinely awful.
Stay focussed, it could get tense, the 2 hours evening session will be a fraught and long one if they can hang in.
Odds on the draw are down to 5/2
England win is now 1000/1
The batsman goes through a set routine as the bowler approaches. He then breaks that routine depending on the delivery he receives. No argument there. It's
it's different when bowling. You arrive at the top of your mark and you're thinking about this next delivery. You've bowled four immaculate corridor of uncertainty deliveries so what now? Slower ball, yorker, bouncer, trying to swing it, wobble seam, googly, flipper, etc... so the change could start with the way you grip the ball. If it's reversing, you might hide the ball more. But let's keep on the slow bowler front. There are the variations as mentioned there and then the variations of pace and flight. A bowler could go more round arm or go as high as possible. No bowler can be perfectly accurate or repeat every delivery on the mark, thus meaning there are inconsistencies between each delivery: stride length, the amount of reach in the delivery stride, how he releases the ball with the fingers depending on the type of delivery he is trying to bowl.
Here's one for you: wind. It's been rather blustery at Old Trafford. If Leach is bowling into a 20mph wind for five deliveries and then the wind drops during the sixth delivery as he comes in, it could throw him off. Witness Junaid Khan a couple of years ago going against the famous Fremantle Doctor.
https://www.dawn.com/news/1309647
It's a damn sight easier to have a pre-delivery pickup routine as a batsman than it is for a bowler. This is why we don't see bowlers going through the sort of lengthy preamble that Jon Trott used to do!